Sunk Cost Bias or Chasing The Money – A Cognitive Bias Affecting Scam Victims – 2024

Sunk Cost Bias or Chasing The Money – A Cognitive Bias Affecting Scam Victims

Cognitive Biases Play a Role In Your Vulnerability & Susceptibility To Scams

The Psychology of Scams – A SCARS Insight

Author:
•  Tim McGuinness, Ph.D., DFin, MCPO, MAnth – Anthropologist, Scientist, Director of the Society of Citizens Against Relationship Scams Inc.
Originally Published: 2023 – Article Updated: 2024

Article Abstract

Understanding the Sunk Cost Bias, also known as “chasing the money,” is crucial, especially for scam victims. This cognitive bias drives individuals to continue investing resources into failing endeavors, driven by the desire to justify past investments and avoid admitting failure.

Victims of scams are particularly susceptible, often investing more resources in the hope of recouping their losses. Psychological mechanisms such as loss aversion, commitment justification, and hope for recovery contribute to this bias, leading to an escalation of commitment and significant financial devastation.

Recognizing and mitigating the sunk cost bias requires awareness and rational decision-making to avoid further harm and protect against fraudulent schemes.

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Chasing the Money: Understanding the Sunk Cost Bias and Its Impact on Scam Victims

Humans are often influenced by cognitive biases that can lead to irrational behavior. One such bias, the sunk cost bias, also known as “chasing the money,” can have profound effects on individuals, especially when they fall victim to scams and fraudulent schemes. Understanding this bias is critical in comprehending why individuals persist in pursuing investments or endeavors despite mounting evidence of their futility or fraudulent nature.

Sunk Cost Bias or Chasing The Money

One of the Cognitive Biases that can make people vulnerable to scams is the “Sunk Cost Bias” (also called “chasing the money”). This bias occurs when people continue to invest time, money, or other resources into something because they have already invested a lot into it and don’t want to feel like that investment was wasted.

This can make people more likely to fall for scams that promise high returns or to continue giving money to someone who is scamming them because they don’t want to accept that they have been duped.

What is the Sunk Cost Bias?

The sunk cost bias refers to the tendency of individuals to continue investing resources, whether it be time, money, or effort, into a project or endeavor that is unlikely to succeed. This behavior is driven by the desire to justify past investments, even when doing so goes against logic and reason. The term “sunk cost” refers to expenses that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered, yet individuals often factor these costs into their decision-making process.

The Psychology Behind the Bias

Psychologically, the sunk cost bias is rooted in loss aversion and the desire to avoid admitting failure. Individuals become emotionally attached to their investments and view them as commitments that must be honored, regardless of the potential for further losses. Admitting that the investment was a mistake can be psychologically painful, leading individuals to irrationally continue investing in the hope of recouping their losses.

Effects on Scam Victims

Scam victims are particularly vulnerable to the sunk cost bias, as fraudsters exploit their emotional investment in the scam to extract further resources. Victims may initially invest a small sum of money in a fraudulent scheme, believing they will receive substantial returns. However, as the scam unfolds and the promised returns fail to materialize, victims may find themselves trapped in a cycle of chasing their losses.

Psychological Mechanisms at Play

Several psychological mechanisms contribute to the sunk cost bias among scam victims:

  • Loss Aversion: Victims are reluctant to accept the loss of their initial investment and continue investing in the hope of avoiding further losses.
  • Commitment Justification: Victims feel compelled to justify their past investments by continuing to invest, even in the face of mounting evidence of fraud.
  • Hope for Recovery: Victims cling to the hope that their fortunes will turn around, leading them to overlook warning signs and rationalize their continued investment.

Escalation of Commitment

The sunk cost bias often leads to an escalation of commitment, where individuals double down on their investments despite diminishing returns. In the context of scams, victims may invest larger sums of money, believing that increased investment will lead to greater returns and ultimately justify their initial losses. This phenomenon can result in significant financial devastation for victims, as they become increasingly entangled in the fraudulent scheme.

Mitigating the Bias

Combatting the sunk cost bias requires awareness and rational decision-making. Victims of scams must recognize when their investments are unlikely to yield returns and be willing to cut their losses. Seeking advice from trusted friends, family members, or financial advisors can provide valuable perspective and help victims avoid falling deeper into the trap of sunk costs.

Summary

The sunk cost bias, or “chasing the money,” is a pervasive cognitive bias that can have devastating effects on scam victims. By understanding the psychological mechanisms behind this bias, individuals can take steps to mitigate its impact and make more rational decisions. Recognizing when to cut losses and walk away is essential in avoiding further financial harm and protecting oneself from falling victim to fraudulent schemes. Ultimately, awareness and critical thinking are key to resisting the allure of sunk costs and making informed decisions in the face of uncertainty.

About Cognitive Biases

This article is part of SCARS continuing commitment to helping the victims of scams (financial fraud) to better understand the psychology of scams. In other words, why are victims vulnerable and how do Cognitive Biases relate to that?

How Do Cognitive Biases Make People Vulnerable To Scams, Fraud, and Deception

How do cognitive biases play a role in making people vulnerable and susceptible to scams, fraud, and deception?

Cognitive biases are mental shortcuts that allow people to make quick decisions and judgments based on their past experiences and memories. These biases can be helpful in many situations, as they allow people to process large amounts of information quickly and efficiently. However, they can also make people vulnerable to scams, fraud, and deception.

One reason why cognitive biases make people vulnerable to scams is that they can lead people to make judgments that are not based on evidence or logical reasoning. For example, Confirmation Bias (a major bias that makes people vulnerable) is the tendency to seek out and interpret information that supports one’s preexisting beliefs, while ignoring or dismissing information that contradicts them. This can make people more susceptible to scams that appeal to their beliefs or biases, as they are more likely to believe the scammer’s claims without critically evaluating the evidence.

There are several ways that people can protect themselves from scams, fraud, and deception. One way is to be aware of common cognitive biases and how they can affect decision-making. This can help people to be more mindful of their thought processes and to question their own judgments.

Another way to protect oneself is to be skeptical of claims and offers that seem too good to be true. It is important to carefully evaluate the evidence and to ask questions before making a decision. This can help people to avoid falling for scams that rely on emotional appeals or incomplete information.

It can also be helpful to seek out additional sources of information and to consult with trusted friends, family members, or professionals before making a decision. This can provide a more balanced perspective and help to identify any potential red flags. But if you do not understand your Cognitive Biases then you will not even see the red flags!

Overall, cognitive biases can make people vulnerable to scams, fraud, and deception by leading them to make judgments that are not based on evidence or logical reasoning, and by causing them to make irrational or risky decisions. However, by being aware of these biases and taking steps to protect oneself, people can reduce their risk of falling victim to these types of scams.

Summary

Cognitive biases do make people more vulnerable to scams, fraud, and deception by causing them to ignore warning signs, pay more attention to information that supports their preexisting beliefs, rely on incomplete information, and anchor their decisions to easy and often incorrect information.

By being aware of these biases and making an effort to overcome them, people can be better equipped to avoid falling victim to scams and other forms of deception.

More About Cognitive Biases & Vulnerabilities

Statement About Victim Blaming

Some of our articles discuss various aspects of victims. This is both about better understanding victims (the science of victimology) and their behaviors and psychology. This helps us to educate victims/survivors about why these crimes happened and to not blame themselves, better develop recovery programs, and to help victims avoid scams in the future. At times this may sound like blaming the victim, but it does not blame scam victims, we are simply explaining the hows and whys of the experience victims have.

These articles, about the Psychology of Scams or Victim Psychology – meaning that all humans have psychological or cognitive characteristics in common that can either be exploited or work against us – help us all to understand the unique challenges victims face before, during, and after scams, fraud, or cybercrimes. These sometimes talk about some of the vulnerabilities the scammers exploit. Victims rarely have control of them or are even aware of them, until something like a scam happens and then they can learn how their mind works and how to overcome these mechanisms.

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All articles about psychology and the human brain on this website are for information & education only

The information provided in this article is intended for educational and self-help purposes only and should not be construed as a substitute for professional therapy or counseling.

While any self-help techniques outlined herein may be beneficial for scam victims seeking to recover from their experience and move towards recovery, it is important to consult with a qualified mental health professional before initiating any course of action. Each individual’s experience and needs are unique, and what works for one person may not be suitable for another.

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One Comment

  1. Corey Gale August 15, 2024 at 10:55 am - Reply

    The only thing that stopped my scam was when I decided to cut my losses and move on. My pig butcher scam was at the stage where my crypto account had been frozen and effectively held ransom for more than twice my initial investment. If I had continued it would have had truly life changing consequences. After a few close calls with recovery scammers I am now hoping law enforcement agencies I have reported to have some luck. Meanwhile, I am moving on assuming I will not be getting any of my money back. A hard lesson learned.

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